Winter Weather Advisory

Freezing Point

>> Wednesday, October 23, 2013

With a Frost Advisory in place for most of the area it could be the first time since April 21 that we fall to 32 degrees or below in Reading and May 14 in Allentown.  It's just another sign that winter is approaching.  If that doesn't remind you, turning the clocks back will.

In just over a week the sun will be setting an hour earlier and the days of darkness quickly expand.  It reminds me from a weather standpoint November is probably my least favorite month.  Gone are the temperature fluctuations of October.  Take the current month for example.  The first six days hit at least 80.  The last week of the month might not make it to 60.  Last November the average temperature was 41.  October's was 56. 

The instant darkness is the first kick in the ass November brings.  Regardless of your fondness for winter there is nothing exciting about watching the only daylight hours through the window of your office.  Give it one day after the clocks roll back before someone surely says, I can't believe it is only 5:30. 

Even worse is the cold, chilly and damp air mass that November has the tendency to usher in.  It's the type of cold that can go right through you.  It's heavy unlike the cold, dry air of mid winter.  With an average high of 53 and low of 35 (Reading) the temperature stays in the range of uncomfortable and awkward.  Not cold enough for the thick winter jacket, no warmth in a thin-layered coat and a bit too damp for a heavy sweater.  Add in precipitation and it only gets worse.

November averages around 3.5 inches of rain.  While that isn't the most in a month it is rather high for the colder months from November thru March.  Be reminded that most of this falls in liquid precipitation with those temperatures hovering around 40.  To me there is little worse than a cold rain.  It is impossible to stay warm.  Luckily last year we actually had more snow than rain.  Not likely going to happen this year. 

I often feel the six month period between fall and spring mirror each other in some way.  For instance January and February both share the heart of winter in our area.  We generally see our heaviest snows in these months and the difference in average temperatures are only a few degrees.  Moving away from the heart we get December and March.  One forms the beginning of winter and the other sees the end.  Take last year for example.  We had 5.6 inches of snow in December and 4.9 inches in March.  On the outer cusp we get November and April.  The only difference is one ushers in crappy weather and the other welcomes the sites and sounds of spring.

It's hard to make a good case for November.  It has what I like to call the triple D's.  Darkness.  Dampness.  Deadness.  Put your head down and plow through it.  Eventually the snowstorms will come.  Even if you aren't a fan of winter, most would agree it is nicer to see the white dustings of snow as opposed to the brown backdrop of dead grass, bare trees and crumpled piles of leaves. 

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Dust The Shovels Off

>> Tuesday, October 22, 2013

The predictions have started.  A storm has already been named.  Winter hasn't technically started, but the reality is it has.  The first flakes will fly before the week is over in Pennsylvania.

The winter previews from the Philadelphia news sources have yet to arrive.  I would guess those should all appear within the next few weeks.  Like in seasons past I will gather all these guesses to see who did the best when the season ends.  Personally I would prefer to not make a prediction since it amounts to nothing more than a guess.  But what fun would that be.  I have the same chance at being accurate as all of the others.

I will be the first to step up to the plate.  When you consider average snowfall totals you have to consider all the random numbers calculated throughout the years of recordings.  This is why I find it amusing when the Philadelphia stations predict 20-24 inches for the city or basically the seasonal average.  It doesn't consistently snow the same amount every year!  Now for my take.  The Lehigh and Delaware valley's have missed out on the big snow the last few years, but they have been close by.  Like always the potential for a winter battleground in our area could take shape.

  • I see potential for at least one major storm (12-15 inches)
  • Two storms of a moderate scale (6-8 inches)
This puts us in the ballpark of 24-31 inches which I could settle on if one of those storms doesn't pan out and the rest of the winter is marginal.  However, I will keep with the guesses above and add in the occasional lighter snows for a season for the Reading to Allentown corridor, minus the areas at higher elevation, of 36-39 inches.


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It's time to follow three more cities this year in my so-called snow zones.  I have the pleasure of introducing the three participants this season all coming from the northeast.

As returning champion and overall big city winner yet again last year, Syracuse will once again be represented strong.  Let's be honest, it's going to take a big winter somewhere else in the country to knock Syracuse off their perch.

Head north and we get contestant number two.  Situated along Lake Champlain is the lovely little town of Burlington, Vermont.  For an area that does not see lake effect snow, they can really pound out some solid seasonal totals.

Our wild card this year will be Johnstown, PA.  They have the distinction of being built in a ditch.  It is surrounded in all directions in what I will call large hills.  In winter this elevation difference can help increase moisture in the town and make snowfall totals a bit higher than in other locations.  Though the average isn't very high, it only takes a few big storms to keep this town in the running.




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Summer Rainfall Champion

It wasn't really a competition as much as something to track during the months it isn't snowing.  I picked five random cities before summer started and tracked their monthly rainfall for June, July, August and September.  The numbers were tallied and the winner is...

PHILADELPHIA

The city of brotherly love finished with an incredible 32.96 inches over the four month span.  That would average out to over 8 inches a month and about 8 inches less than a normal yearly average.  This is the first championship the city has won in any weather category since they took down the windiest autumn back in 1967.

Here are the final results from last to first.

5.  Des Moines: 7.59

4.  Portland: 7.75

3.  Baton Rouge:   21.38

2.  Savannah:   29.41

1.  Philadelphia:  32.96




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