Watching the Models

Going to make it quick tonight as I have been spending a lot of time looking at the models over the past two days.  In fact I just got done with the North American Model that update at 9:35.  Why all the interest?  Remember how I said last post that there was no snow in sight in the forecast?  Things change.

The track has slowly been changing slightly eastward meaning cold air will come in from the north and west and possibly change rain over to snow in certain areas.  The question remains where will that area be.  As of right now our area would be in the zone to receive some snowfall.  Of course things can always change and we still have at least 48 hours to go.  I'm not blowing the whistle and ring the bells on this one.  I'm just putting it out there now, with the latest runs, there is a chance the area sees snow sometime Wednesday into Thursday.

We could get into totals but I don't think that would do much good for anybody.  In fact neither TWC or AW is predicting snow, and the NOAA has a slight chance.  Meanwhile, the models, which also calculate other variables like total snow on the ground has areas as high as 10 inches north of the Lehigh Valley. 

I will keep monitoring the models each night.  I could check them tomorrow and see absolutely nothing.  Either way we are not talking about anything major here.  But it's always nice to have something to track.  This is generally the time of year when we do start to see winter begin to take shape.