Winter Weather Advisory

Not Done Yet

>> Monday, March 11, 2013

Let's face it.  This wasn't our year.  All our events ended up being fairly minor and even though it was a snowier year than last, most areas will still be well shy of the average.

Most if not all of New England swung in the complete opposite direction.  Even after being labeled a southern snow, somehow New England managed to rack up an additional 10 to 20 inches as moisture spread back from the coast in this most recent storm.  It's almost amazing.  There are many cities that will end up finishing with higher totals close to the Atlantic than cities near the Great Lakes.

Here is another thing I haven't had a chance to mention.  We knew this last storm was going to be incredibly tricky.  Most places I saw said it was one of the hardest storms to forecast for many different factors.  They proved themselves right on that.  Hope nobody was too excited for snow in D.C. as the 12+ inches forecasted turned out to be a big nothing.  The same could be said for Maryland and many places in southern PA.  If it weren't for the wrap back factor the forecast would have been a complete whiff.

Now to my point slash rant.  The models really sucked in calling this storm in terms of precipitation.  The North American was extremely poor.  The snowfall forecast was all over the place.  Some went real high and others stayed low.  Regardless, every model showed accumulating snows for this area.  As poorly as the models did, so did the meteorologists.  Sorry folks.  Normally I understand it's not an exact science but the fact of it is, it is a science that is being studied by professionals.  If you can't figure out what a storm is going to do outside of looking at models then you really aren't that different from me.  Raise your hand.  Take a step front.  And own up to blowing it this time.


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MARCH

I'd love to tell you there is a snowstorm in our future.  There is.  At what point in the future, I don't know.  I'm thinking around December 8th.  However, March is looking to be a cooler than average month (remind me to check back on this when April begins).

There are some slight chances for snowfall throughout the next week and a half.  Nothing interesting.  It looks like we are on the wrong side of the rain/snow line this weekend and even then it's a minor event at best.  It will get colder though especially on Thursday.  There looks to be another colder streak towards the end of the month.

This is the time of year where the northeast tends to deal with stagnant temperatures while the rest of the country bops up and down.  You wouldn't really know that watching the local news since a swing of ten degrees to them is usually worthy of a lead story full of color adjectives.

Case in point, Rapid City.  Without diving into it too much, they will struggle to hit 40 tomorrow, approach 70 by Thursday and could struggle to get back to 40 by Sunday.  Kansas City?  47-67-72-56.  Those are predicted highs for four straight days this week.  It's normal.

I will stick with the rest of March being relatively cool for our area.  But cool doesn't get us snowstorms and an hour more of evening sunlight won't help either.  I'm not writing winter off yet but if I were it would look something like, W-I-N-T-E-R is O-V-E-

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