Winter Storm Chester

Details

• Date:  December 9, 10, 11
• Impact Areas:  Northeast
• Peak Winds: 40-60 mph along coast, Fairhaven, MA 62 MPH
• Snowfall:  Jamesville, NY 26.2 - Orwell, VT 19.5 - Savoy, MA 16.9
• Notables:  NYC 2.63 inches of rain - Boston 3.20 inches of rain 

And the models have trouble figuring out exactly what is going to happen?  Not hard to figure out why.

I did most of my summary of this storm in my last post so this one will be short.  Since I decided to name nor'easters as a poke at TWC for naming winter storms I'm at least getting some amusement.  So far I'm on letter C and those guys are on letter D.  I have criteria for earning a name.  They do not.  So either it is almost not snowing anywhere else in the country or they don't know what the hell they are doing.

Back to the storm.  It ended quickly after my post with the moisture shutting off.  Have to admit the models did a good job with catching that wrap around snow.  In fact aside from the extremely high amounts the GFS had one night, it also did a particularly good job in showing that the Berks area had a higher chance of receiving accumulating snow.  You can see it in the GFS images and in the snow prediction map.

The final results for the three day storm came in with over 100 places reporting.  Nobody came close to Berks.  Hamburg reported 5.8 inches.  Fleetwood was at 4.2.  I was not correct in my official Allentown guess of 0.7 inches.  Probably going to be difficult to get one of these right unless I predict they get nothing.  They ended the storm at 0.6.

LOOKING AHEAD ----

Things quiet down this week with no chances for any surprise snowfalls and a return to seasonal temperatures.  Actually they have been seasonal in terms of average daily temps, but that is for another post.

Keeping an eye on the time frame just before Christmas.  A very close eye.  Clearly too far from now for any certainty but the Canadian and Euro both show something.  There will be colder air in place and it looks like there is a potential for a coastal storm.  Date range is between the 21st and 23rd.  Actually the GFS just updated so how about a little preview.

Even kept the date on there as you can see at the top right.  At least there is something to follow during the week.