Winter Weather Advisory

Playing With Models

>> Thursday, August 11, 2011

A hurricane is set to hit Myrtle Beach. If you believe the long-range forecast that is. I wouldn't sweat it. Last night the models suggested that two tropical systems would hit the U.S. on the exact same day, one in the Gulf and the other close to New York City. However, keep your guard up.

I forgot how fun it is to play with models. Normally I only use them in the winter. But with the tropics nearing peak activity, I believe I will be take a glance quite often. Much like winter storms, it is way too early to tell what will happen. One thing is certain though, somebody will be getting impacted over the next two weeks. Mark it down.

As for the GFS, it takes the storm virtually directly into Myrtle Beach Wednesday, then up the coast with heavy amounts of rain inland. And when I say Wednesday, I'm talking the one almost two weeks from now. Think something will change by then?

The one intriguing thing about this time of year when it comes to the Atlantic is that these storms tend to ramp up and begin to train. You see one wave come off Africa and begin to organize, than another one, than another one. You could have three storms all moving across the Atlantic together. Taking environmental factors into consideration, it begs to question whether you could actually get two hurricanes to hit the United States within 36-48 hours. Maybe that could be the next Weather Channel's, It Could Happen Tomorrow.

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