Winter Weather Advisory

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>> Thursday, February 9, 2012

Two chances for measurable snow in the same week?  It cannot be true.  But it is.  After the near blizzard like conditions yesterday that produced anywhere from 1/2 an inch to nearly two inches, we might be on tap to score a little more.

A system that will have to be monitored by people that get paid to will move our way Friday night into Saturday.  Latest track I saw took most of the moisture to our east.  Let me rephrase that.  The heaviest moisture formed to our east.  In a sense it is a very late developing coastal low that kicks back heavy precip into NJ and maybe even Philly, then takes the fun somewhat up 95.  How many times could this change before it happens?  I don't know.  That makes me about as accurate as anybody else.  Looks like places further east and perhaps a bit south have a better chance at a decent snow.

What I am looking forward to is finally a cold weekend.  It is February right?  And look at Sunday.  Highs in the upper 20's with winds at a solid 20-25 mph.  That should make temperatures feel like single digits.  Haven't had a day like that since... have we even had a day like that this season?  A perfect day to throw a log on the fire, do some housework and take in a hockey game or two.  Or you could run in a race with 300-400 other wack-a-doodles like I will be doing Sunday morning in less than thrilling conditions.  I must say I have been complaining about the non-shiverous conditions in the so called "Shiver" race that led me to wear shorts the last two times.  Won't be complaining this time.

For fun (and for the first time in awhile) let's look at the long range. 

I see some light snow in and around the 14th or 15th.  Temps bounce around a bit.

Then right around the 19th or 20th we see this:


If only.  Problem is NAO isn't projected to go negative.  Meaning even if it does turn up the coast which is unlikely, the cold air would not be in place.

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Started this early but waited until tonight to see the latest run of the short term model.  Really pulled back on the enhanced moisture at the coast.  However, we were not getting that anyway.  If anything it looked a little better for us.  I'm calling it now.  Break out the boots, go buy some bread and hunker down.  We are looking at an easy one to two inches. 

1 comments:

Anonymous,  February 10, 2012 at 7:44 AM  

RD-Local NYC weather peeps are saying 1-3" of snow thru Saturday. I'm predicting 2-4" on top of the hill. We're stocked with wine, firewood, and vittles. Just waiting for the snow on Saturday.

Make sure you COVER ALL EXPOSED skin surfaces for your run on Sunday. Frostbite is painful and leaves scars. You may want to wrap your willy extra warm...just in case.

DJG

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