The Caboose

The classic after-hockey-game weather post for the upcoming system.  I might have mentioned it before or maybe not, but we were in line for a train of storms. This is the final storm in the parade of four that the models picked up almost two weeks ago.  Two of the first three were hits.  It's starting to look like the fourth will be a success as well.  I must say, even though the models don't always lock in on totals, they have done very well in picking up storms.

The one on Friday into Saturday is going to be tricky.  The onset is likely to see snow north of Reading, followed by a mix and then plain rain as the freezing line retreats north.  The system redevelops off the coast and brings both moisture and the colder air back south.  The question will be how far south and how far inland.  A few days ago places from CT to MA would have been in line to get potentially another half foot.  Now take a look at the GFS prediction.

Small swath of heavier snow from northern New Jersey out to Long Island.  Poconos get in on the action.  Lehigh Valley in the 1-3 zone.  Basically nothing to the west except for the initial snow.  By the way, if I zoomed out there would not be any snow anywhere else.  Try making a prediction on where this tiny area of snow is going to fall.  Could be a little further north or a little further south.

The Euro isn't convinced yet.  That model shows no significant snow anywhere and only 1-3 inches from Allentown on northward.

Below is the short term model which looks to be on board with the GFS.  Also remember that the short term model easily did the best when it came to predicting the last storm.

It's something to keep an eye out for on Saturday.  If there is any consolation it will be a little warmer which should keep the snow from sticking to the roads at least for awhile.  If you are looking for more good news my confidence for another snowstorm through the March 26th weekend is dwindling.