Winter Weather Advisory

Sunday Update - Map Edition

>> Sunday, November 4, 2012

Here we go again.  Of course nothing will compare to the last storm, but anything at this point spells trouble.  Let's look at the maps.



THIS IS A LOOK AT THE SHORT RANGE MODEL AT HOUR 84.  ARROWS ARE MINE SHOWING DIRECTION OF WIND AND OCEAN SURGE.  THIS WOULD EASILY FLOOD THE COAST.



NORTH AMERICAN SHOWS CLASSIC NOR'EASTER PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND WINDS ALONG THE COAST FROM DELAWARE TO MAINE.  NOTICE THE STORM AT AROUND 980 PRESSURE.  







EUROPE MODEL TAKES THE STORM A BIT FURTHER SOUTH WHICH WOULD HAVE MORE OF AN IMPACT IN OUR REGION.  CONSIDERING WHAT JUST HAPPENED I DON'T THINK ANYBODY CARES MUCH ABOUT WHAT WILL HAPPEN LOCALLY.




CANADIAN MODEL SHOWS A MUCH STRONGER STORM THAN THE OTHERS.  THIS ONE IS AT 965 WITH STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER RAIN.



It is still too early to get into dynamics of the storm.  It's not looking good once again for New Jersey and New York at least along the water.  I'm somewhat surprised that most models tend to agree on a coastal storm already.

This is one of the those typical eastern winter storms that will be tough to pinpoint what happens inland.  There is cold air to work with but I'm leaning against snow for anybody outside of higher elevated areas. 

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