Winter Weather Advisory

Pre Valentine's Day Storm of 2014

>> Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Winter storms always have the possibility of changing right up until they hit.  Hell, they can change during the middle of the storm.  As I worked and meteorologists studied maps it is becoming more evident this has the makings of a big storm.

I didn't think I was going to get to make another post, but the National Weather Service has changed their idea today so I figured why can't I.  I was always told if you can't trust the accuracy of a government agency who can you trust.

If you look at my post below you will see the totals they were going with right up through this afternoon.  Now it looks like this.



Widespread totals of double digits for Allentown and Reading as well as much of north western New Jersey and extending into the Poconos.  Philadelphia deals with some mixing.

Remember that darn North American model that wouldn't move the moisture as far west as others?  Here is what it picks up now.


The yellow to orange colors are at least 1.5 inches of rain.  What makes this one a little different is many areas in the heavy moisture will deal with mixing or a change to rain.  Our area is in one of the best for all heavy snow.  In this setup you are looking at upwards of 15 inches.  If you look around the NYC area you are probably getting closer to 20.

What makes this storm interesting to many is the size and area this covers.  You already have a major ice storm in the deep south.  Heavy snow between 10 and 20 inches will fall from Virginia to Maine.  It won't hit the big cities quite as hard as the interior cities but nonetheless this will make the history books simply because of the range of impacts.

Warm air might actually give us a little change over at some point.  Frankly that will just makes things worse.  It's already going to be a heavy snow.  We don't need to add to the weight with sleet or ice.  Let's stick with the snow and hope everything goes well.  Unless you have an important job that needs to keep you out tomorrow, enjoy the snowfall from inside.  I haven't really seen anybody predict less than 10 inches for our area.

We got lucky last time.  I'm not sure how lucky we will get this time.  Snowstorms are awesome until you lose power.  Assuming I am home and with power I will update when I'm not outside rolling around in the snow like a puppy.  Otherwise you will most likely find me outside enjoying every minute of the last major snowstorm of the season.  Who could ever get tired of this?

1 comments:

Anonymous,  February 12, 2014 at 8:30 PM  

RD-Well, your prognostication is in line with almost every other forecaster on TV. Will keep you informed...assuming I have power...of our weather here in NJ.

As far as "who could ever get tired of this? Try tens of millions of people NOT like you who won't roll around in the snow like a puppy but will have to break their backs shoveling out!

Looking forward to your reports on Thursday.

DJG

Post a Comment

  © Blogger template Webnolia by Ourblogtemplates.com 2009

Back to TOP