Winter Weather Advisory

Round 1

>> Sunday, February 2, 2014

Every single run of the short term model yesterday and today kept pushing this one north.  Somebody is going to hit 12 inches.  Either that or I'm completely inaccurate as the local weather service keeps us lower than what I would suggest as basically everybody is in the 4-6 inch range.




This is the finally run before I go to bed.  That's pretty impressive.  The good thing is it moves quickly and the worst conditions are after the morning drive and before the evening commute.  The bad news is this has the makings for a wide range of 8-12 inches of a heavier snow than we had been seeing.  Total rainfall amounts are coming in at 1 to almost 1.5 inches for much of the area especially south of Allentown and Reading.  This would equate to about 10-12 inches.  I can't imagine they don't change the snowfall amounts and increase the advisories unless I'm missing something.


The second storm already starts making the short term forecast map.  I'm a bit intrigued by this one as well as it seems to hold the wintry side of things longer than I think was originally anticipated.  That could be a good thing if we can avoid a lot of the ice and stick with mainly snow.  That one is far more complicated than the one tomorrow which is completely a snow event.

The weekend storm is still a complete unknown.  I can't figure out if there are two systems moving in together or if a transition occurs or if it is a single tracking storm moving right up the mountains.  Like I said in previous posts, it's fun to follow but not when there are two storms ahead of it.

Let's see what we get tomorrow.  We seem to be right on the cusp of many of these storms.  This one could buck that trend.


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