Winter Weather Advisory

Getting Tricky

>> Wednesday, August 22, 2012

As we approach a shorter time frame we can start to see patterns develop.  In the same token, things can change rather quickly and often when you look beyond the 5 to 7 day period.  Case in point is the upcoming tropical storm in the south Atlantic.

The more reliable European and Global models show the same path that they've been showing the past few days.  If anything the Global took it slightly west still hitting southern Florida but not as a hurricane.  Instead it takes the storm up the western Florida coast, strengthening to what appears to be a weak hurricane and then making landfall along the panhandle.

Again a completely different scenario plays out from what ran yesterday.  The storm quickly rides a dipping jet stream up the eastern coast.  No stationary rain.  No hanging out in the south.  It would ride it quickly enough the storm would be gone by mid next week.  And thanks to high pressure hanging out over our region, the current run shows no rain.

Images will be posted next time.  As for kickoff weather, more of the same.  No rain showing up but with the storm showing signs of making a turn up the coast I would at least pay attention.  I was very surprised to see what I would consider cool air to come down from Canada for the middle portion of next week.  Surprised mainly because that is the complete opposite of what was shown before. 

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