First in February

We didn't even have to wait for Wednesday as I predicted for Allentown to pass the ten inch mark on the season.  Yay!?  I had also mentioned before my new appreciation for the accuracy of the global model runs lately.  In fact, even as the models continue to suggest a weak snow event last week most meteorologists I noticed continued to say the model was not picking up the trough digging in.  Sure enough the model ended up being right.  Let's rewind.

Here is what I said last Sunday about this weekend we just experienced.

Possibility of an Alberta clipper swinging through over the weekend.  That would give us the standard 1-3 snows.  Models don't show anything else developing with it right now.

That was six full days before the snow.  I don't think you could really get any closer given the amount of time in between.  Everybody that reported was between 0.1 and 2.2 inches in our region.  With this in mind I think I will continue to use the model for the rest of the winter.

_____________________________________________________________________

THE WEEK AHEAD

By the time the system gets into our area Tuesday it will have been a full week since I first mentioned it in a post.  Once again the model is at least close to being accurate.  The clipper is still on the map but the moisture is drained by the time it gets close to us.  A period of flurries or light snow is still likely.  Southern areas should do marginally better.  Nothing more than a coating to an inch for most.

Another clipper moves to our north Wednesday night.  Would not be surprised to see another coating in some spots especially north of the valley on this one.

Starting to see a pattern?  Another clipper with more dynamics could be in play for Friday.  Temperatures could be more of a factor in this one.

Weekend looks good with moderating temperatures for those of us who enjoy that.  I could have made that prediction a month ago since it's another shiver run weekend.  However, temperatures will quickly turn cold again after that.  But that is next week.  Let's see how many half inch snowfalls we can get this week.