Winter Weather Advisory

It Snowed

>> Saturday, January 16, 2016

Mark it down.  January 12th.  That's how long it took before we saw measurable snow.  The snow, which resembled a thunderstorm line, moved in quickly with high winds and dumped a total of 0.3 inches in Allentown.  Other places fared slightly better however when we are talking less than an inch does it really matter? 

Like most winters we continue to look at the next possibility.  And like most winters things for us change constantly. 

You can scroll down to my January 7th post where I show what the model projected 10 days out.  That date would have been January 17th.  Below is what will actually happen.  Only Downeast Maine will see substantial snowfall and even that will be minor compared to a typical coastal storm.  It's actually that low in Canada that is part of the problem.  Plus the storm is moving very quickly.  Considering the model had a storm for the area 10 days ago and sure enough there is a storm, I at least feel comfortable using the models as guidance.





LOOKING AHEAD


I'd expect to see very light snow or flurries anytime between Sunday and Tuesday especially as you go north.  The low coming up the coast on Sunday still appears to be a miss for everybody in our region so no bother posting it.  The Euro was the only one hanging on and even that one gave up.

The next image is for next weekend.  It once again shows some sort of potential.  Right now this seems completely unorganized.  With the way the pattern has been going and string of odd events (see Hurricane Alex) I would not even bother looking this far ahead.  Euro keeps this far to the south which evokes the next fear for snow lovers is the potential for a southern pattern.



If you look at total snow output over the next 10 days you would not be very excited unless you really do not like snow.  It amounts to little more than a dusting.  You can see higher numbers to the south in relation to the above storm.  If you went even further south the numbers would be in the double digits.



The Euro is even less convinced.  I wasn't going to post the 10 day snowfall off that model but it's too funny not to.  Can anybody spot the Snow Hole?



This is what I can say.  If you work a Monday-Friday job I wouldn't be very concerned about your commute this upcoming week. 


2 comments:

Anonymous,  January 16, 2016 at 10:58 AM  

RD-Your forecast is good for you commuter types and the rest of us like the "dusting" scenario.
DJG

r. david January 16, 2016 at 6:46 PM  

These things shift so frequently it's not worth posting. If you look at the latest run there would be a sizable snowstorm for our region next weekend. 12 Hours ago it would be an inch.

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