The Fun Continues

26 degrees and a sleet/freezing rain combo.  That's what fell as I shoveled a couple inches of snow and sleet this morning at 5:30.  And people wonder how can it be raining at 20 some odd degrees?  Like the last post, it is all about surface temperature and the warm air that overrides it.  I actually thought the roads were in pretty good shape for the early morning commute.  Or at least better than I thought they would be.

Tomorrow morning could be different.  As the winter storm warning expired, a Winter Weather Advisory is posted until 9:00 a.m. for all of the area with the exception of Bucks, Montgomery and Hunterdon counties.  Although they all could easily have one too.  This time a smaller disturbance will move in from the west and with temperatures hovering right around freezing, a light mixed bag could fall tonight.  The big difference with this system is that there is no accompanying snow to start.  Anything that falls could potentially freeze on contact causing the dreaded black ice conditions that are impossible to see.  I think anybody would be happy to see snow again.

And you would be in luck.  I'm saying it loud and proud.  It's going to snow Friday.  The NAM is actually updating as I write this, so for fun, I will post a map of the storm when it is ready.  I will stress though that it is looking like it won't be anything major for us.  You'd have to go north and east (go figure) for the potential big stuff.  January has certainly not gone the way of the typical La Nina pattern.  And it's not over yet.  Snow map total will be up either tomorrow night or Thursday.

Always takes a bit longer, but here is the NAM run from a mere couple minutes ago.  Notice here the medium green shade across much of PA and all of NJ indicating a steady snow for Friday.  This run actually had the low going more off the coast and not turning up and hammering New England.  Those are the types of things that change.  I'll put up the same model run tomorrow night and check out the 24 hour difference.